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Sports · POLYMARKET · LIVE

LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner

Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 23:13 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET CONVICTION 100.0%MARX FAIR CONVICTION -
CONVICTION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%25%50%75%100%
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Aug 14, 09:32 PMAug 14, 09:52 PMAug 14, 10:13 PMAug 14, 10:33 PMAug 14, 10:53 PM UTC

CONVICTION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-14T21:32:20.771Z89.0%-
2026-08-14T21:51:10.047Z99.3%-
2026-08-14T22:53:50.334Z100.0%-

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win Game 1 against Blue Otter. This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win Game 1 against Conviction. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.