Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 16, 2026, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 21:29 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUT ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T19:13:39.465Z | 83.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:18:44.015Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:23:53.627Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:30:45.983Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:35:57.057Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:41:14.239Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:46:35.421Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:51:43.811Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T19:57:12.386Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:02:15.642Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:07:24.743Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:12:39.187Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:17:46.921Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:22:52.846Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:28:02.563Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:33:05.210Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:38:11.854Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:43:26.529Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:48:36.080Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:53:45.542Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T20:59:00.837Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T21:04:07.148Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T21:09:10.079Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T21:15:14.500Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T21:20:19.872Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T21:26:32.011Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.