Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 21:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 19:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T16:59:56.234Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:10:32.698Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:16:41.119Z | 90.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:26:58.142Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:37:07.849Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:47:55.357Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:52:57.765Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:04:17.290Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:16:49.274Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:21:55.112Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:32:09.281Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:42:32.324Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:53:07.002Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:59:53.026Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:10:23.161Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Astralis in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.