LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 12:43 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CTBC FLYING OYSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T12:14:20.411Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:19:22.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:24:28.692Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:29:38.860Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:34:43.406Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:39:48.332Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:44:59.067Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 1 against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win Game 1 against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.