LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 13:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CTBC FLYING OYSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T11:43:42.588Z | 90.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:48:47.085Z | 99.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:54:02.399Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:04:21.686Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:14:36.571Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:24:48.835Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:29:56.489Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:40:07.661Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:50:21.645Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:00:53.455Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:05:56.198Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 3 against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win Game 3 against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.