Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 21:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 19:06 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NO HOODWINK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T16:44:22.564Z | 59.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:54:35.588Z | 44.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:04:49.080Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:15:15.893Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:20:18.968Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:30:34.339Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:41:06.398Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:51:15.035Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:56:21.020Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:06:36.067Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:17:06.343Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:27:35.040Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:32:38.891Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:43:54.437Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:54:16.600Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:59:22.889Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:09:45.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and Level UP in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 2 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.