Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 18:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 15:00 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
G2 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T13:16:12.544Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:26:46.887Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T14:30:10.634Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 12 at 8:10AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.