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World · POLYMARKET · LIVE

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)

Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 18:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 14:46 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET G2 0.1%MARX FAIR G2 -
G2 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Aug 12, 01:16 PMAug 12, 01:38 PMAug 12, 02:01 PMAug 12, 02:24 PMAug 12, 02:46 PM UTC

G2 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-12T13:16:12.544Z0.1%-
2026-08-12T14:46:54.799Z0.1%-

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 12 at 8:10AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.