Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 18:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 19:31 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TORONTO BLUE JAYS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T15:14:16.260Z | 34.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:19:27.642Z | 34.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:29:51.434Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:40:11.129Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:50:35.385Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:55:43.498Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:06:03.284Z | 32.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:16:54.588Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:28:44.697Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:33:48.988Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:45:33.858Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:50:42.076Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:01:08.147Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:11:35.361Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:21:58.940Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:27:14.157Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:37:31.813Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:47:54.135Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:58:23.199Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:03:28.317Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:13:53.869Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:24:11.552Z | 24.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:34:29.192Z | 32.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:39:36.811Z | 32.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:50:04.937Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:00:21.513Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:10:45.909Z | 12.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:15:55.214Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:26:09.877Z | 8.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:31:30.835Z | 8.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 5 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.