Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 21:24 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
AMARU GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T18:14:19.188Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T18:19:32.507Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T18:29:52.955Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T18:40:17.567Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T18:45:28.700Z | 63.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T18:55:49.964Z | 63.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:06:21.970Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:16:31.492Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:21:41.781Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:32:28.989Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:43:42.933Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:48:48.774Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T19:59:05.099Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:09:20.938Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:19:37.342Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:24:45.211Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:34:57.516Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:45:19.807Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T20:55:34.312Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:00:49.423Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:11:10.200Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:21:34.436Z | 50.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Amaru Gaming and Team Jenz in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for July 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win Game 2 against Team Jenz. This market will resolve to "Team Jenz" if Team Jenz win Game 2 against Amaru Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.