Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends: Aug 19, 2026, 03:59 UTCMarket data: Aug 19, 2026, 01:16 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TRENT MILLER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18T19:58:07.495Z | 22.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T20:03:11.816Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:30.884Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T20:31:25.379Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T20:42:08.440Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:03:52.295Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:14:07.408Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:24:19.191Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:34:35.615Z | 22.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:44:56.174Z | 19.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T21:50:00.533Z | 19.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:00:10.229Z | 18.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:10:20.679Z | 18.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:20:40.300Z | 19.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:25:46.136Z | 18.8% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:35:57.162Z | 19.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:48:00.167Z | 18.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T22:53:16.064Z | 18.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T23:03:30.559Z | 16.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T23:13:48.279Z | 16.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-18T23:57:48.055Z | 16.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:07:54.127Z | 16.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:14:08.610Z | 16.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:28:09.332Z | 18.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:33:14.402Z | 17.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:46:48.532Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T00:51:55.183Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T01:00:41.594Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T01:11:01.933Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-19T01:21:16.404Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Trent Miller" if Trent Miller is officially declared the winner of the fight against Douglas Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Douglas Rodrigues" if Douglas Rodrigues is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.