LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 23:45 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 21:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
UCAM ESPORTS CLUB probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T18:28:10.784Z | 48.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:38:17.990Z | 5.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:49:09.923Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:54:20.229Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:04:38.398Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:15:02.831Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:25:23.299Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:30:26.782Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:40:43.842Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:51:04.543Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:01:23.209Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:06:28.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:16:42.202Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:28:07.325Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:38:17.903Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:44:06.601Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:54:29.721Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:01:08.755Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:11:33.336Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:21:55.498Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:28:04.354Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:38:23.972Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:48:46.217Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between UCAM Esports Club and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win Game 1 against Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win Game 1 against UCAM Esports Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.