LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 13:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DETONATION FOCUSME probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T10:58:18.468Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:03:25.449Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:08:29.223Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:13:43.232Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:18:49.895Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:23:56.352Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:29:03.770Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:34:11.236Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:39:20.708Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:44:31.624Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:49:39.938Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:54:50.808Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:00:00.015Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:05:05.518Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:10:11.675Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:15:16.116Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:20:26.293Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:25:41.868Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:30:45.843Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:35:55.566Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:41:06.063Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:46:12.109Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:51:16.001Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:57:51.619Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:02:55.747Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:08:03.427Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:14:02.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between DetonatioN FocusMe and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Game 2 against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 2 against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.