Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 17:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GENTLE MATES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T15:30:31.627Z | 35.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:35:36.276Z | 31.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:40:46.635Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:45:51.087Z | 20.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:50:56.263Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:56:08.069Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:01:18.205Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:06:22.310Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:11:28.937Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:16:41.041Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:21:55.282Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:29:41.622Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:34:43.930Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:39:54.075Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:45:02.734Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:50:10.161Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:55:15.446Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:00:27.068Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:05:39.268Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:11:01.264Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 1 against Eintracht Frankfurt. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win Map 1 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.