Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 17:55 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 14:48 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
100 THIEVES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T14:15:21.209Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:20:27.487Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:25:44.237Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:30:53.606Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:36:02.632Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:41:08.020Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:46:15.681Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and BC.Game Esports in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against BC.Game Esports. This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.