Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 14:50 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MOUZ probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T12:44:05.533Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T12:49:11.650Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T12:59:46.874Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:11:25.464Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:16:29.588Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:26:43.200Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:37:13.669Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:42:41.070Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:52:57.403Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:03:14.233Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:14:54.018Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:20:04.943Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:30:47.677Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:41:37.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:46:44.797Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Rune Eaters. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.