LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 17:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 14:20 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NONGSHIM RED FORCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T10:57:49.060Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:02:58.575Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:13:18.494Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:23:38.613Z | 80.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:33:53.208Z | 91.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:38:57.884Z | 91.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:49:07.453Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T11:59:28.886Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:09:44.191Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:20:03.954Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:25:14.609Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:35:22.901Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:45:37.940Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T12:55:57.807Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:01:05.512Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:11:19.211Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:21:33.838Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:28:26.231Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:38:38.931Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:48:54.339Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:59:45.534Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:04:49.061Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:15:04.598Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:20:07.028Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.