LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 18:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 06:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SHARK ATTACK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T04:05:53.925Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:11:03.256Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:16:07.417Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:21:11.599Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:26:17.129Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:31:21.921Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:36:28.193Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:43:27.300Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:48:38.611Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:53:43.118Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T04:58:48.689Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:03:52.762Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:08:57.583Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:14:03.151Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:19:06.885Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:24:09.249Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:29:13.097Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:34:17.908Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:39:22.734Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:44:33.778Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:49:36.570Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T05:54:52.944Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:00:05.179Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:05:12.059Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:10:19.034Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:15:26.554Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:20:31.398Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:25:42.792Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:31:02.670Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T06:32:39.449Z | 20.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win Game 2 against SU Esports. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 2 against Shark Attack. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.