Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 23:22 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PAIN ACADEMY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T21:29:21.699Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:34:25.927Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:44:40.893Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:54:51.397Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:05:00.790Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:10:05.821Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:20:20.754Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:30:30.578Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:40:40.883Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:50:50.760Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:56:00.614Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T23:06:16.035Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T23:16:31.014Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between paiN Academy and Keyd in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win Map 2 against Keyd. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win Map 2 against paiN Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.