Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 16:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 12:36 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GROUND ZERO probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T11:39:42.658Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T11:44:47.993Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T11:49:56.204Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T11:55:08.785Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:00:18.680Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:05:28.340Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:10:40.517Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:15:52.706Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:21:00.645Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:26:16.445Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:31:25.124Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:36:33.283Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:36:47.768Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Ground Zero and Mindfreak in the Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero" if Ground Zero win Map 1 against Mindfreak. This market will resolve to "Mindfreak" if Mindfreak win Map 1 against Ground Zero. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.