Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 13:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 10:26 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
VICI GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T07:44:49.436Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T07:49:50.519Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T07:55:06.491Z | 8.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:00:59.461Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:07:39.780Z | 12.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:14:06.967Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:19:09.768Z | 11.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:24:13.964Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:29:32.923Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:34:56.318Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:40:00.054Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:45:16.479Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:50:18.997Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:55:28.813Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:00:37.519Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:05:54.439Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:11:03.220Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:18:23.006Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:23:30.629Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:29:30.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:34:36.367Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:39:40.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:47:58.032Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:53:14.225Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:00:59.010Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:06:06.023Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:11:18.442Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:18:13.862Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:23:25.765Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Vici Gaming and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.