Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 17:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 15:26 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SANGAL probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T13:14:08.385Z | 16.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:19:15.795Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:29:29.008Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:39:40.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:49:53.960Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:54:59.430Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:05:19.181Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:15:34.722Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:25:50.058Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:30:54.349Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:41:00.862Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:51:15.549Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:58:18.319Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:08:35.163Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:18:40.303Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Sangal and JiJieHao in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16, initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sangal" if Sangal win Map 2 against JiJieHao. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win Map 2 against Sangal. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.