LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 02:25 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KITS ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T23:54:02.655Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T23:59:14.892Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:04:18.656Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:09:25.208Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:14:37.051Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:19:41.755Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:24:57.657Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:30:12.007Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:35:16.903Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:40:23.816Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:45:28.420Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:50:32.521Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T00:55:38.542Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:00:42.999Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:05:48.268Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:10:59.247Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:16:03.278Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:21:07.404Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:26:13.515Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:31:18.262Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:36:22.637Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:41:29.506Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:46:39.776Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:51:42.651Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T01:56:48.866Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:01:52.797Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:07:04.111Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:12:08.475Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:17:13.104Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T02:22:22.883Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Kits Esports and SDM Tigres in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kits Esports" if Kits Esports win Game 1 against SDM Tigres. This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win Game 1 against Kits Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.