Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 14:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 11:55 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
JUST PLAYERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T09:43:12.411Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T09:48:14.229Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T09:53:23.648Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T09:58:30.031Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:03:35.147Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:08:40.790Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:13:43.877Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:18:48.688Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:23:58.930Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:29:06.887Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:34:15.373Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:39:26.214Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:44:34.515Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:49:41.233Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:54:52.844Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:59:57.228Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:05:02.473Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:10:09.461Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:15:15.967Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:20:25.548Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:25:32.317Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:30:41.283Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:35:52.228Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:40:58.930Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:46:06.251Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:51:13.509Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:56:18.839Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Just Players and Butterfly in the CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 7 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Just Players" if Just Players win Map 2 against Butterfly. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win Map 2 against Just Players. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.