Dota 2: Level UP vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 15:05 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 12:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LEVEL UP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T09:45:22.679Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:50:26.145Z | 35.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:55:36.556Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:00:40.931Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:05:43.588Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:10:46.078Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:15:51.337Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:20:56.089Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:26:00.617Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:31:10.963Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:36:21.059Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:41:26.308Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:46:30.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:51:36.037Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:56:53.030Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:01:57.225Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:07:03.416Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:15:12.407Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:20:18.172Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:25:35.003Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:30:44.683Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:35:53.737Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:41:00.106Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:46:03.575Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:51:16.047Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:56:18.497Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:01:24.610Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:06:32.521Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:11:38.763Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Level UP and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 1 against Rune Eaters. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 1 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.