ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmans
Ends: Aug 24, 2026, 11:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 17, 2026, 14:42 UTCResult: TIAGO BOSCHMANSResolved: Aug 17, 2026, 14:37 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ARTEM ALEKSEYCHUK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17T12:13:30.636Z | 48.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:18:37.970Z | 41.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:23:42.939Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:33:56.340Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:39:05.822Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:44:43.658Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:50:00.589Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T12:55:17.049Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:00:33.890Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:09:18.441Z | 1.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:14:30.997Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:19:35.770Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:24:47.259Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:29:55.920Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:35:05.868Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:40:17.982Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:45:28.453Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:50:35.884Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T13:55:47.162Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:01:08.318Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:06:15.448Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:11:22.032Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:16:30.955Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:21:35.467Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:28:25.150Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:33:31.123Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:38:39.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-17T14:42:29.196Z | 0.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Alekseychuk and Tiago Boschmans in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Alekseychuk' if Artem Alekseychuk advances against Tiago Boschmans. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Boschmans' if Tiago Boschmans advances against Artem Alekseychuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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