Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T07:15:21.771Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:25:38.762Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:37:35.856Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:42:48.157Z | 64.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:53:09.011Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:05:00.438Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:10:05.442Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:20:28.719Z | 98.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:30:39.184Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:41:00.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:46:24.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:56:42.101Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:06:55.199Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:17:09.913Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:20:15.285Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Vici Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.