Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 24:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 20:41 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NATUS VINCERE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T18:27:38.712Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:32:48.310Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:37:52.144Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:49:05.081Z | 72.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:59:22.889Z | 16.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:09:45.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:14:49.834Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:25:13.119Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:35:37.970Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:45:53.213Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:51:05.056Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:01:25.241Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:12:35.798Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:17:44.896Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:28:13.426Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:38:30.630Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:41:37.637Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Joblife in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Joblife. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.