LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 10:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
T1 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T08:07:40.183Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:14:07.072Z | 53.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:24:24.995Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:34:56.347Z | 99.3% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:40:09.450Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T08:50:20.316Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:00:37.779Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:11:03.255Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:18:13.232Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:29:30.138Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:34:36.426Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:47:58.133Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T09:53:14.232Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:06:06.287Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T10:11:18.757Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.