ITF koksijde: Jelle Sels vs Lars Goran Verwerft
Ends: Aug 17, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 16:03 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
JELLE SELS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T12:29:24.761Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:39:35.826Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:49:49.836Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T12:59:59.875Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:05:09.877Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:15:20.604Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:25:36.056Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:35:53.242Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:41:00.742Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:51:16.387Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:01:25.189Z | 50.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:11:30.276Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:21:45.898Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:26:57.369Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:37:15.224Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:47:38.768Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:57:54.897Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:03:03.426Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:13:20.785Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:23:40.544Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:34:04.444Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:39:12.749Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:49:22.585Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:59:49.292Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:03:59.060Z | 50.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Jelle Sels and Lars Goran Verwerft in the ITF Men koksijde, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Jelle Sels. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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