Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 09:05 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 05:55 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T03:59:54.297Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:05:01.638Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:10:14.295Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:15:16.214Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:20:18.262Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:25:23.665Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:30:35.105Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:35:41.657Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:40:47.188Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:45:54.111Z | 87.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:50:56.936Z | 83.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:56:03.150Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:01:07.938Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:06:12.423Z | 82.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:11:23.617Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:16:33.185Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:21:38.236Z | 90.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:27:24.763Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:32:27.227Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:37:32.214Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:42:37.460Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:47:42.311Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:52:47.027Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:55:45.001Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Falcons and LGD Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.