LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 13:29 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KT ROLSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T10:29:24.218Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:34:31.341Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:44:41.057Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:55:01.789Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:05:11.124Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:10:14.540Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:20:19.925Z | 1.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:30:44.605Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:40:59.920Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:46:03.242Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T11:56:19.189Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:06:32.720Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:16:52.860Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:21:57.842Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:32:09.065Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:42:17.754Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T12:52:33.019Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:02:52.853Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:08:00.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:20:53.465Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:26:13.640Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T13:29:12.243Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.