LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 12:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BNK FEARX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T10:28:33.900Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:33:43.903Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:38:48.163Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:44:34.528Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:49:41.108Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:54:53.090Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:00:12.728Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:05:20.992Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:10:43.737Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:15:56.006Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:21:00.386Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:26:11.638Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:31:26.698Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:36:36.398Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:41:46.549Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:46:55.751Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:52:06.049Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:58:14.534Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:03:25.039Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:08:31.414Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:13:49.499Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 7 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.