Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 23:05 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 19:47 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FNATIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T17:14:11.052Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:19:24.181Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:24:30.502Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:29:38.695Z | 85.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:34:42.698Z | 88.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:39:51.541Z | 96.2% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:44:58.289Z | 99.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:50:04.581Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:55:21.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:00:34.648Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:05:37.191Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:11:08.977Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:16:17.635Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:21:29.403Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:27:00.007Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:32:03.663Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:37:11.150Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:43:51.021Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:48:59.651Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:54:04.438Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T18:59:16.623Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:04:19.838Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:09:25.104Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:14:30.292Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:19:39.859Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:24:50.146Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:29:56.785Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:35:05.022Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:40:11.151Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T19:45:17.828Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Fnatic and Enterprise Esports in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Map 1 against Enterprise Esports. This market will resolve to "Enterprise Esports" if Enterprise Esports win Map 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.