Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 06:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 03:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CLOUD9 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T00:46:17.026Z | 37.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:51:22.847Z | 55.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:56:26.518Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:01:31.968Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:06:35.063Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:12:30.948Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:20:30.457Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:25:41.145Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:31:06.278Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:36:11.959Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:41:16.396Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:46:25.322Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:51:29.760Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:57:02.857Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:02:11.180Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:07:17.189Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:13:53.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:19:05.978Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:24:10.756Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:30:28.023Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:35:42.707Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:40:58.626Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:46:06.328Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:51:10.816Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T02:56:17.284Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T03:01:29.443Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T03:06:35.178Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Map 1 against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Map 1 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.