Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 22:02 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ILBIRS ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T19:43:18.680Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:48:28.639Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:53:39.968Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T19:59:28.168Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:04:39.781Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:09:49.955Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:14:54.126Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:20:04.845Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:25:17.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:30:20.547Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:35:30.084Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:40:42.403Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:45:49.292Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:51:00.153Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T20:56:05.887Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:01:15.479Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:06:20.576Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:11:26.436Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:16:34.088Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:21:39.076Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:27:40.363Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:32:45.258Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:37:56.931Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:44:15.967Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:49:21.794Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:54:38.232Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T21:59:45.189Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Power Rangers in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for August 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win Game 1 against Power Rangers. This market will resolve to "Power Rangers" if Power Rangers win Game 1 against Ilbirs eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.