LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 09:39 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DPLUS KIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T05:43:51.869Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:48:58.500Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T05:59:09.267Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:04:23.995Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:14:39.263Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:25:00.777Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:35:09.818Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:40:13.979Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T06:50:24.315Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:00:39.827Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:11:06.121Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:16:09.891Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:26:25.128Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:36:39.460Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:43:37.039Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T07:54:00.890Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:04:30.681Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:14:45.743Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:19:55.153Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:30:16.096Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:40:34.060Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:51:06.032Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T08:56:11.318Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T09:06:26.374Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T09:18:26.794Z | 92.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T09:23:37.800Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T09:34:05.231Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T09:39:18.449Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.