The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 06:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 15:13 UTCResult: WELSH FIREResolved: Aug 5, 2026, 15:08 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MANCHESTER SUPER GIANTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T14:39:17.340Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:51:47.798Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:56:56.240Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:02:03.647Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:07:17.544Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:13:02.122Z | 0.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the cricket match between Manchester Super Giants and Welsh Fire scheduled for August 5 2026 in The Hundred, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.