Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 16:02 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T13:43:42.940Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:48:54.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:53:58.371Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T13:59:50.609Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:04:58.684Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:10:16.083Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:15:34.939Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:20:40.197Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:25:50.596Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:30:54.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:35:58.514Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:41:01.197Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:46:09.252Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:51:16.037Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T14:58:19.245Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:03:24.793Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:08:35.957Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:13:39.337Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:18:42.196Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:23:49.207Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:29:00.047Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:34:04.834Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:39:15.868Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:44:29.591Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:49:34.488Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:54:44.946Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:59:55.380Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:04:59.731Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between FTS and PuckChamp in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FTS" if FTS win Game 1 against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against FTS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.