Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 23:28 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ALKA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T21:13:21.772Z | 64.8% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:18:28.459Z | 65.2% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:23:31.720Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:28:37.374Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:33:41.959Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:38:48.282Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:43:57.601Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:49:04.911Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:54:11.927Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T21:59:21.321Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:04:33.505Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:09:48.094Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:14:55.678Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:20:03.380Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:25:10.881Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:30:20.109Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:35:38.733Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:40:54.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:46:02.010Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:51:05.548Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T22:56:16.827Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:01:28.014Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:06:38.479Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:13:13.552Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:18:17.674Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:23:25.994Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T23:28:38.601Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between ALKA and paiN Academy in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win Map 1 against paiN Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win Map 1 against ALKA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.