Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 8, 2026, 20:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 17:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08T15:28:16.336Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:33:19.355Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:38:25.179Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:44:08.455Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:49:15.848Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:54:21.461Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T15:59:25.641Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:04:30.230Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:09:37.045Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:14:45.391Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:19:56.771Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:25:05.619Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:30:16.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:35:19.840Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:40:31.622Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:45:40.850Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:50:50.144Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T16:55:52.515Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:01:01.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:06:04.906Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:11:11.075Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:16:15.058Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:21:21.640Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T17:27:11.684Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between 1WIN and BASEMENT BOYS in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6, initially scheduled for August 8 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 1 against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win Map 1 against 1WIN. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.