LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 13:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
CTBC FLYING OYSTER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T10:43:19.213Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T10:53:41.883Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:03:55.826Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:09:00.739Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:19:18.739Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:29:31.445Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:39:42.871Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:44:46.410Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:54:57.280Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:05:17.442Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:15:32.795Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:20:41.651Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:31:07.081Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:41:26.785Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:51:43.075Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:56:52.239Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:07:06.759Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 2 against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win Game 2 against CTBC Flying Oyster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.