Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 13:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 11:21 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM YANDEX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T08:46:32.332Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:56:42.101Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:06:55.199Z | 98.8% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:11:59.673Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:22:17.706Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:34:26.878Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:39:45.984Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:49:59.303Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:00:20.918Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:10:34.994Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:16:34.890Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:26:54.847Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:37:10.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T10:51:21.533Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:01:47.574Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:12:33.564Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T11:19:30.564Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and HULIGANI in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win Game 2 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.