Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 19:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 17:15 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NATUS VINCERE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T15:14:49.111Z | 98.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:19:53.042Z | 93.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:25:03.763Z | 98.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:30:08.651Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:35:11.469Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:40:27.254Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:45:31.706Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:50:41.712Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T15:55:47.133Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:00:53.364Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:06:01.679Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:11:11.944Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:16:16.036Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:21:21.727Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:26:31.545Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:31:36.668Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:36:41.381Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:41:46.730Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:46:51.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:51:53.192Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T16:57:12.148Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:02:25.432Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:07:31.577Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:12:36.374Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T17:15:07.140Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Natus Vincere and Level UP in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.