Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 05:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 02:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GALORYS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T00:13:30.503Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:18:40.361Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:23:42.212Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:28:43.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:33:49.346Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:38:51.495Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:43:59.311Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:49:01.851Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:54:07.908Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T00:59:12.660Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:04:18.437Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:09:23.091Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:14:26.916Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:19:31.549Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:24:39.305Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:29:42.049Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:34:52.759Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:40:05.909Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:45:17.179Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:50:27.601Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T01:55:35.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:00:47.305Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:06:02.606Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:11:07.487Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Galorys and Keyd in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 1 against Keyd. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win Map 1 against Galorys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.