LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 10:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DN SOOPERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T08:14:59.421Z | 55.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:20:01.211Z | 5.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:25:11.516Z | 12.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:30:16.104Z | 5.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:35:21.112Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:40:26.272Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:45:31.124Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:50:36.375Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T08:55:41.529Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:00:45.927Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:05:56.181Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:11:01.246Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:16:11.425Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:21:21.174Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:26:31.433Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:31:36.216Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:36:46.189Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:41:51.342Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:46:56.212Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:52:01.113Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T09:57:06.272Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:02:11.044Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:07:20.830Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T10:14:22.638Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.