LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 06:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
HANJIN BRION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T02:07:04.179Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:12:06.410Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:22:21.564Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:32:31.319Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:37:36.486Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:47:51.389Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T02:58:06.804Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:08:16.690Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:18:36.452Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:23:46.586Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:33:56.516Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:44:09.076Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:54:21.831Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T03:59:26.252Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:09:41.498Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:19:51.273Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:30:06.242Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:40:16.634Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:45:26.512Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T04:55:36.977Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:07:34.940Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:12:37.483Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:22:48.059Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:33:07.503Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:43:17.479Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:48:23.168Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T05:58:39.448Z | 36.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T06:04:11.223Z | 36.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.