Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 21:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 19:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T17:47:55.145Z | 82.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T17:52:57.334Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:04:17.494Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:16:49.120Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:21:54.978Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:32:09.226Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:42:32.306Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:53:06.989Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T18:59:44.761Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T19:10:08.836Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Astralis in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.