Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 14:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 11:41 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUNPLUS PHOENIX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T09:27:52.289Z | 94.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:32:56.354Z | 66.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:38:00.723Z | 31.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:43:07.822Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:48:11.608Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:53:25.658Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T09:58:41.258Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:03:46.034Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:08:50.476Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:13:55.880Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:19:00.173Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:24:05.957Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:29:14.941Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:34:18.935Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:39:25.946Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:44:31.436Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:49:47.973Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T10:54:55.908Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:00:00.341Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:05:02.392Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:10:12.914Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:15:16.231Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:20:26.618Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:25:32.250Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:30:40.428Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:35:52.263Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:41:02.341Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between FunPlus Phoenix and JD Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win Map 2 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Map 2 against FunPlus Phoenix. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.