Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 13:57 UTCResult: BASEMENT BOYSResolved: Aug 7, 2026, 13:52 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BC.GAME ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T12:13:51.533Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:24:05.807Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:29:12.230Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:39:27.631Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:49:37.165Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:59:52.654Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:04:55.935Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:15:06.782Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:25:27.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:35:46.013Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:40:57.555Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:51:06.432Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BC.Game Esports and BASEMENT BOYS in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win Map 2 against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win Map 2 against BC.Game Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.